Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday


	Tallinna Kalev		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	2
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.28	1.58
	2.22	1.56
	2.32	1.65
	2.3	1.57
	2.4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.95)	1.59 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
40.9%

Nizhny Novgorod
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallinna Kalev's performance.

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nizhny Novgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallinna Kalev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	0%	22.6%

Tallinna Kalev - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Kalev will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Nizhny Novgorod will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalev: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Preview

Kalev in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Nizhny Novgorod is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kalev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nizhny Novgorod have a series of guest games.

Nizhny Novgorod will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Kalev won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1144-1240.

Including matches at home between the teams Kalev won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 549-537.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
VTB United League
17.04.21	Tallinna Kalev - BC Khimki	91:84 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
11.04.21	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	75:86 ✺
10.04.21	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	83:63 ✺
04.04.21	TLÜ Kalev - Tallinna Kalev	78:100 ✺
02.04.21	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	68:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW
- BC Nizhny Novgorod
VTB United League
17.04.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Zenit Saint Petersburg	62:70 ✺
14.04.21	BC Khimki - Nizhny Novgorod	64:69 ✺
11.04.21	Parma Perm - Nizhny Novgorod	67:72 ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.04.21	AEK Athens - Nizhny Novgorod	79:78 ✺
VTB United League
03.04.21	Avtodor Saratov - Nizhny Novgorod	93:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
28.12.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Tallinna Kalev	95:85
08.10.19	Nizhny Novgorod - Tallinna Kalev	74:76
20.04.19	Tallinna Kalev - Nizhny Novgorod	94:84
07.10.18	Nizhny Novgorod - Tallinna Kalev	68:82
15.02.18	Tallinna Kalev - Nizhny Novgorod	97:103 OT (84:84)
19.11.17	Nizhny Novgorod - Tallinna Kalev	103:85
13.02.17	Tallinna Kalev - Nizhny Novgorod	87:91

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