Match Info

NBL

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Pettigrew Green Arena (Napier)


	Hawkes Bay Hawks		Taranaki Airs

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.44
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3.06	1.32
	2.12	1.61	Watch
	3.00	1.30
	2.73	1.40
	2.85	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.82)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay Hawks
33.8%

Taranaki Airs
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawkes Bay Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Taranaki Airs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay Hawks than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranaki Airs than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hawkes Bay Hawks will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Taranaki Airs will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawkes Bay Hawks (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Burton A. (C)	0. Cook A.
11. Grida D.	42. Hill N.
88. Jeter C.	3. Jones M.
23. McLaughlin J.	13. Moors J.
7. Murphy J.	1. Stroud B.
Substitutes
12. Allan I.	9. Adam Z.
9. Ball K.	32. Bailey Q. (C)
2. Casson B.	8. Cooper J.
24. Eagle E.	41. Rusholme Cobb
3. Kara K.	2. Samuel T.
6. Singh L.	6. Tuhaka L.
10. Taylor M.	11. Tuuta R.
Coaches
. Lopez W.	. White J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 0.

Hawkes Bay Hawks is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Taranaki Airs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1840:1762. (average 92:88.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 939:846. (average 93.9:84.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay Hawks
New Zealand NBL
27.06.26	Canterbury Rams - Hawkes Bay Hawks	93:77 ✺
22.06.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Southland Sharks	93:117 ✺
20.06.26	Auckland Tuatara - Hawkes Bay Hawks	85:74 ✺
13.06.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Franklin Bulls	101:95 OT ✺
04.06.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Nelson Giants	85:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Taranaki Airs
New Zealand NBL
27.06.26	Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets	77:90 ✺
20.06.26	Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs	91:87 ✺
18.06.26	Southland Sharks - Taranaki Airs	84:93 ✺
12.06.26	Taranaki Airs - Tauranga Whai	85:73 ✺
06.06.26	Taranaki Airs - Auckland Tuatara	69:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
14.04.26	Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks	93:84
14.06.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	72:84
28.03.25	Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks	114:88
26.06.24	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	93:109
22.05.24	Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks	103:76
11.05.23	Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks	93:102
15.04.23	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	93:95

Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide