Match Info

Super Lig - Round 1

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Tofas Spor Salonu (Bursa)


	Tofaş		Fenerbahçe

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	3.35	1.3
	3.31	1.23
	3.27	1.32
	3.4	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.6)	1.26 ↑ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tofaş
27.5%

Fenerbahçe
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

74.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tofaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Tofaş - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5, OT - Tofaş (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tofaş (votes: 1 - 50%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Blazevic M.	00. Bacot A.
21. Lewis M.	1. Birsen J.
2. Perez-Kaufmann A.	20. Hall D.
3. Saybir Y.	8. Horton-Tucker T.
32. Thomasson J.	10. Mahmutoglu M. (C)
Substitutes
25. Besson H.	17. Bitim O.
1. Cengiz O.	11. Boston B.
16. Efeoglu K.	50. Colson B.
8. Gecim T. (C)	9. Demir D:
15. Kidd L.	5. Eksioglu M.
5. Malic Whaley S.	4. Melli N.
6. Postel E.	32. Zagars A.
Coaches
. Rajkovikj E.	. Jasikevicius S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tofaş won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tofaş won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1568:1762. (average 78.4:88.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tofaş won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 838:882. (average 83.8:88.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 74.53%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tofas S.K.
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.25	Tofaş - Petkim Spor	89:90 ✺
18.09.25	Tofaş - Trabzonspor	90:80 ✺
14.09.25	Tofaş - Galatasaray	91:91 ✺
12.09.25	Bahcesehir Koleji - Tofaş	99:82 ✺
10.09.25	Tofaş - Žalgiris Kaunas	78:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLW
- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Turkish Super Cup Basketball
24.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	85:83 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
21.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Olimpia Milano	73:69 ✺
19.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Crvena Zvezda	67:77 ✺
17.09.25	AEK Athens - Fenerbahçe	102:102 OT ✺
04.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	82:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
13.04.25	Tofaş - Fenerbahçe	88:89
14.12.24	Fenerbahçe - Tofaş	90:88
03.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Tofaş	109:77
05.11.23	Tofaş - Fenerbahçe	86:95
31.05.23	Tofaş - Fenerbahçe	87:98
27.05.23	Fenerbahçe - Tofaş	93:78
26.03.23	Tofaş - Fenerbahçe	94:89

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