Match Info

Lega A - Round 13

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Pala Shark (Trapani)

Referee: Catani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	LBA TV


	Trapani		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.45	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)	2.8 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
66.4%

Varese
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Trapani - Varese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trapani will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 176, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Cappelletti A.	2. Alviti D.
00. Eboua P.	11. Iroegbu I.
20. Hurt M.	4. Moore T.
1. Notae J.	8. Nkamhoua O.
11. Petrucelli J.	15. Renfro N.
Substitutes
5. Arcidiacono R.	19. Bergamin M.
3. Ford J.	55. Freeman A.
16. Patti L.	34. Ladurner M.
10. Pugliatti F.	13. Librizzi M.
6. Rossato R.	7. N'Guessan E.
15. Sanogo A.	1. Stewart C.
	5. Villa M.
Coaches
. Repesa J.	. Kastritis I.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Varese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Trapani has had a series of away games.

Trapani is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 215:193. (average 107.5:96.5).

Including home match between the teams, Trapani won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 106:93.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Trapani
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.12.25	Dinamo Sassari - Trapani	102:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.12.25	Tofaş - Trapani	99:93 OT ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.25	Trapani - Udine	91:73 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.12.25	Canarias - Trapani	80:83 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.12.25	Treviso Basket - Trapani	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWW
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.12.25	Varese - Trieste	84:69 ✺
14.12.25	Basket Brescia - Varese	102:94 ✺
08.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	79:87 ✺
23.11.25	Varese - Udine	59:66 ✺
16.11.25	Varese - Cantù	91:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
02.03.25	Trapani - Varese	106:93 OT
19.10.24	Varese - Trapani	100:109

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