Match Info

Lega A - Round 9

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)

Referee: Galasso M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	LBA TV


	Varese		Udine

	1	2
			Watch
	1.56	2.42	Watch
	1.59	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.45)	2.43 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
60.6%

Udine
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varese's form might have worsened.

Udine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Udine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udine than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Udine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Varese - Udine Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Varese will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Udine will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Udine (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 172.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Freeman A.	5. Alibegovic M.
42. Moody S.	22. Bendzius E.
4. Moore T.	24. Dawkins A.
8. Nkamhoua O.	8. Hickey A.
15. Renfro N.	6. Spencer
Substitutes
19. Bergamin M.	23. Brewton D.
11. Iroegbu I.	31. Calzavara A.
34. Ladurner M.	20. Da Ros M.
13. Librizzi M.	35. Ikangi I.
7. N'Guessan E.	17. Mekowulu C.
99. Tornese F.	33. Mizerniuk F.
5. Villa M.	15. Pavan A.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Vertemati A.

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Udine may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Varese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
16.11.25	Varese - Cantù	91:82 ✺
09.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	90:87 ✺
04.11.25	Varese - Virtus Bologna	77:83 ✺
02.11.25	Venezia - Varese	86:75 ✺
25.10.25	Varese - Basket Trento	74:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- GSA Udine
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.11.25	Udine - Derthona Basket Tortona	90:94 ✺
09.11.25	Cantù - Udine	90:85 OT ✺
07.11.25	Udine - Venezia	87:94 ✺
01.11.25	Dinamo Sassari - Udine	70:88 ✺
26.10.25	Trieste - Udine	92:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWL

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