Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 25

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: PalaVerde (Villorba)


	Treviso Basket		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.1
	1.32	3.4
	1.32	3.59
	1.32	3.59
	1.33	3.4
	1.34	3.33	Watch
	1.32	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)	3.41 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso Basket
72%

Basket Pesaro
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Treviso Basket's performance.

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basket Pesaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso Basket than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treviso Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basket Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Treviso Basket - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Olisevicius O.	1. McDuffie M.
25. Allen T.	5. Bluiett T.
33. Paulicap P.	22. Mazzola V.
12. Robinson J.	20. Cinciarini A.
0. Bowman K.	4. Bamforth S.
Substitutes
29. Camara G.	25. Fainke E.
10. Faggian L.	12. Ford Q.
7. Harrison D.	13. Maretto O.
24. Mezzanotte A.	15. Tambone M.
15. Scandiuzzi F.	9. Visconti R.
9. Torresani D.	11. Wright-Foreman J.
6. Zanelli A.
Coaches
. Vitucci F.	. Sacchetti R.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Treviso won 3.

Treviso is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Basket Pesaro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Treviso is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Treviso to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Treviso won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 787-794.

Including matches at home between the teams Treviso won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 335-311.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.03.24	Pistoia Basket - Treviso Basket	83:84 ✺
17.03.24	Treviso Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	78:71 ✺
09.03.24	Treviso Basket - Reggiana	71:63 ✺
03.03.24	Napoli Basket - Treviso Basket	95:81 ✺
11.02.24	Basket Trento - Treviso Basket	82:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Lega A Basketball
24.03.24	Basket Pesaro - Reggiana	69:87 ✺
17.03.24	Basket Pesaro - Virtus Bologna	87:86 OT ✺
10.03.24	Basket Trento - Basket Pesaro	109:82 ✺
03.03.24	Basket Pesaro - Basket Brescia	93:83 ✺
11.02.24	Varese - Basket Pesaro	91:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
26.11.23	Basket Pesaro - Treviso Basket	95:76
Club Friendly Basketball
23.09.23	Basket Pesaro - Treviso Basket	93:99
Italian Lega A Basketball
19.04.23	Treviso Basket - Basket Pesaro	96:82
08.01.23	Basket Pesaro - Treviso Basket	101:72
30.01.22	Basket Pesaro - Treviso Basket	105:108 OT (92:92)
11.12.21	Treviso Basket - Basket Pesaro	63:73
03.04.21	Basket Pesaro - Treviso Basket	89:97

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