The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Troy Trojans 69.1%
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troy Trojans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troy Trojans's performance.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southern Miss Golden Eagles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troy Trojans than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troy Trojans that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Miss Golden Eagles than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southern Miss Golden Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Troy Trojans - Southern Miss Golden Eagles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:69
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troy won 3.
Recent performances by Troy have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Southern Miss is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Troy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Southern Miss has had a series of away games.
Troy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Troy won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 842:812. (average 70.2:67.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Troy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 443:396. (average 73.8:66).
Last Results with these Odds
Southern Miss Golden Eagles - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.