Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	South Alabama Jaguars		Troy Trojans

	1	2
	2.01	1.76
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.13)	1.8 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Alabama Jaguars
47.6%

Troy Trojans
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Alabama Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Troy Trojans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troy Trojans than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Alabama won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

South Alabama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Troy has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Alabama won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1374:1353. (average 68.7:67.7).

Including home matches between the teams, South Alabama won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 669:619. (average 74.3:68.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Alabama Jaguars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.02.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats	82:90 OT ✺
16.02.26	Marshall Thundering Herd - South Alabama Jaguars	84:80 ✺
14.02.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - South Alabama Jaguars	88:92 OT ✺
12.02.26	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - South Alabama Jaguars	78:84 ✺
07.02.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Buffalo Bulls	81:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWW
- Troy Trojans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Troy Trojans	76:77 ✺
14.02.26	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Troy Trojans	69:65 ✺
11.02.26	Texas State Bobcats - Troy Trojans	74:62 ✺
07.02.26	Troy Trojans - Akron Zips	79:69 ✺
04.02.26	Georgia State Panthers - Troy Trojans	63:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	59:49
25.01.25	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	65:55
18.01.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans	64:63
27.01.24	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	83:79
18.01.24	South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans	74:71
09.02.23	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	61:57
28.01.23	South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans	77:60

South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide