Match Info
NCAADate: 6 March 2026, Friday
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Texas State Bobcats |
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Southern Miss Golden Eagles |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 139.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Texas State Bobcats 53.5% | Southern Miss Golden Eagles 46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Southern Miss Golden Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Miss Golden Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.6%)Texas State Bobcats - Southern Miss Golden Eagles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:69 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 3.Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.Texas State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 653:659. (average 72.6:73.2).Including home matches between the teams, Texas State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 288:283. (average 72:70.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 17.01.26 | Texas State Bobcats - Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 74:67 | | 08.01.26 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Texas State Bobcats | 80:70 OT | | 18.01.25 | Texas State Bobcats - Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 85:82 OT | | 11.01.25 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Texas State Bobcats | 92:88 OT | | 07.03.24 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Texas State Bobcats | 59:75 | | 17.02.24 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Texas State Bobcats | 78:74 | | 03.02.24 | Texas State Bobcats - Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 60:55 |
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