Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	UCF Knights		Baylor Bears

	1	2
	1.76	2.01
	1.78	1.95
	1.88	1.97
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.53)	1.98 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCF Knights
52.5%

Baylor Bears
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCF Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCF Knights's form might have worsened.

Baylor Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baylor Bears's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCF Knights than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCF Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baylor Bears, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UCF Knights - Baylor Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Preview

Recent performances by UCF have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baylor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Baylor has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that UCF will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UCF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 145:168. (average 72.5:84).

Including home match between the teams, UCF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 69:77.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCF Knights basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.02.26	Brigham Young Cougars - UCF Knights	84:97 ✺
21.02.26	Utah Utes - UCF Knights	71:73 ✺
17.02.26	UCF Knights - TCU Horned Frogs	82:71 ✺
14.02.26	UCF Knights - West Virginia Mountaineers	67:74 ✺
08.02.26	Cincinnati Bearcats - UCF Knights	92:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLL
- Baylor Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.02.26	Baylor Bears - Arizona Wildcats	80:87 ✺
21.02.26	Baylor Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	73:68 ✺
17.02.26	Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears	90:74 ✺
14.02.26	Baylor Bears - Louisville Cardinals	71:82 ✺
10.02.26	Baylor Bears - Brigham Young Cougars	94:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.02.25	Baylor Bears - UCF Knights	91:76
31.01.24	UCF Knights - Baylor Bears	69:77

UCF Knights - Baylor Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide