Match Info

Lega A - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaCarnera (Udine)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Udine		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.49	2.64
	1.52	2.47
	1.5	2.65
	1.56	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	2.54 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udine
62.8%

Varese
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udine than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Udine - Varese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Udine will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Varese will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Alibegovic M.	2. Alviti D.
0. Christon S.	11. Iroegbu I.
20. Da Ros M.	4. Moore T.
35. Ikangi I.	8. Nkamhoua O.
17. Mekowulu C.	15. Renfro N.
Substitutes
31. Calzavara A.	19. Bergamin M.
24. Dawkins A.	55. Freeman A.
33. Mizerniuk F.	34. Ladurner M.
15. Pavan A.	13. Librizzi M.
6. Spencer	7. N'Guessan E.
21. Stjepanovic I.	1. Stewart C.
4. Zoriks K.	5. Villa M.
Coaches
. Vertemati A.	. Kastritis I.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Udine has had a series of away games.

Udine will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Udine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 66:59.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4
7	Udine	3	2	1	238:221	4

Last Results with these Odds

Varese - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GSA Udine
Italian Cup Basketball
18.02.26	Basket Brescia - Udine	78:64 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.02.26	Virtus Bologna - Udine	90:86 ✺
08.02.26	Udine - Dinamo Sassari	92:79 ✺
31.01.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Udine	79:80 ✺
25.01.26	Basket Brescia - Udine	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWL
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.02.26	Varese - Basket Brescia	98:96 ✺
08.02.26	Basket Trento - Varese	84:78 ✺
01.02.26	Varese - Reggiana	61:76 ✺
26.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Varese	74:84 ✺
18.01.26	Varese - Venezia	94:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
23.11.25	Varese - Udine	59:66

Udine - Varese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide