Match Info

Lega A - Round 20

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)

Referee: Miniati G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Italy	LBA TV


	Varese		Basket Brescia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.92	1.85	Watch
	1.94	1.87
	1.93	1.83	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.98	1.86	Watch
	1.86	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.2)	1.84 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
48.7%

Basket Brescia
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varese's performance.

Basket Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basket Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Varese - Basket Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Varese will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Brescia will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varese: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varese will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Alviti D.	2. Bilan M.
11. Iroegbu I.	8. Della V. A.
4. Moore T.	5. Massinburg C.
8. Nkamhoua O.	9. Ndour M.
15. Renfro N.	23. Rivers D.
Substitutes
99. Alabiso R.	10. Burnell J.
55. Freeman A.	25. Cournooh D.
34. Ladurner M.	6. Doneda A.
13. Librizzi M.	3. Ferrero G.
7. N'Guessan E.	21. Mobio J.
1. Stewart C.	7. Santinon M.
5. Villa M.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Cotelli M.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 0.

Varese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brescia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brescia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1621:1810. (average 81.1:90.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 745:781. (average 82.8:86.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4

Last Results with these Odds

Basket Brescia - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.59%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.02.26	Basket Trento - Varese	84:78 ✺
01.02.26	Varese - Reggiana	61:76 ✺
26.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Varese	74:84 ✺
18.01.26	Varese - Venezia	94:106 ✺
11.01.26	Treviso Basket - Varese	86:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLL
- Basket Brescia
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.02.26	Basket Brescia - Virtus Bologna	79:87 ✺
01.02.26	Olimpia Milano - Basket Brescia	81:90 ✺
25.01.26	Basket Brescia - Udine	83:80 ✺
18.01.26	Cantù - Basket Brescia	71:76 ✺
11.01.26	Basket Brescia - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.25	Basket Brescia - Varese	102:94
25.01.25	Varese - Basket Brescia	77:118
29.09.24	Basket Brescia - Varese	118:94
30.03.24	Varese - Basket Brescia	92:95
26.11.23	Basket Brescia - Varese	116:73
28.01.23	Varese - Basket Brescia	80:72
08.10.22	Basket Brescia - Varese	88:83

Varese - Basket Brescia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide