Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Second round - Round 1

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Antel Arena (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Sweden	DAZN


	Uruguay		Bahamas

	1	2
	2.12	1.65	Watch
	1.98	1.78
	1.89	1.82	Watch
	2.04	1.72
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	1.98	1.73
	2.08	1.71
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (5.5)	1.72 ↑ (1.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay
45.8%

Bahamas
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.5%

83.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uruguay's performance.

Bahamas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahamas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Uruguay - Bahamas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Uruguay will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bahamas will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uruguay (votes: 1 - 50%). Bahamas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 180, OT - under (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 182.5, OT - over (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -7.5, OT - Bahamas (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Uruguay (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bahamas (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Fitipaldo B. Tenerife	2. Bridgewater D.
20. Gomez P. Nacional	7. Hield B. Atlanta Hawks
35. Iglesias G. Bigua	23. Jones K. Anadolu Efes
14. Rodriguez J. Penarol (Uruguay)	3. Miller F.
59. Taboada J. San Pablo Burgos	14. Mobley I. Hapoel Jerusalem
Substitutes
45. Bianchi M. Defensor	15. Burrows J.
30. Martinez N. Malvin	0. Clarke G.
21. Parodi L. Nacional	4. Dean R.
8. Pomoli N. Penarol (Uruguay)	9. Hanna J.
42. Rojas M. Penarol (Uruguay)	11. Hunter S. Vienna Basket
10. Serres E. Penarol (Uruguay)
25. Vescovi S. Penarol (Uruguay)
Coaches
. Jauri G.	. McLean M.

Preview

In this match, Bahamas is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uruguay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 162:169. (average 81:84.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay basketball
World Championship Basketball
05.07.26	Uruguay - Cuba	99:70 ✺
02.07.26	Uruguay - Argentina	76:91 ✺
02.03.26	Cuba - Uruguay	62:88 ✺
27.02.26	Argentina - Uruguay	44:61 ✺
30.11.25	Uruguay - Panama	84:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW
- Bahamas basketball
World Championship Basketball
06.07.26	Bahamas - Puerto Rico	92:115 ✺
03.07.26	Bahamas - Jamaica	123:74 ✺
01.03.26	Puerto Rico - Bahamas	71:66 ✺
26.02.26	Jamaica - Bahamas	96:99 ✺
01.12.25	Canada - Bahamas	94:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AmeriCup Basketball
26.08.25	Uruguay - Bahamas	100:91
Olympic Games - Basketball
19.08.23	Uruguay - Bahamas	62:78

Uruguay - Bahamas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide