Match Info

LBL - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)


	VEF Riga		Rīgas Zeļļi

	1	2
	1.63	2.18
	1.68	2.09
	1.77	1.91	Watch
	1.6	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.56)	2.07 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VEF Riga
55.3%

Rīgas Zeļļi
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VEF Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Rīgas Zeļļi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VEF Riga than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rīgas Zeļļi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

VEF Riga - Rīgas Zeļļi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Bertans Dai. (C)	33. Anigwe C.
1. Bumeisters R.	31. Berzins J.
0. Hollis C.	23. Fidler F.
16. Huffman B.	5. Lukashov D.
32. Niedra J.	0. Shabazz K.
Substitutes
7. Aleksandrovs R.	8. Berzins R.
22. Butirins R.	9. Kudrjavcevs R.
13. Gulbis M.	7. Macoha R.
35. Kilps K.	20. Nikolajevs R.
20. Rocak T.	15. Pinete U. (C)
11. Vanags R.	10. Sulcs R.
	1. Vitols J.
Coaches
. Gulbis M.	. Coders D.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VEF won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

VEF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

VEF could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, VEF won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1544:1435. (average 85.8:79.7).

Including home matches between the teams, VEF won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 927:827. (average 84.3:75.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VEF Riga
Latvian LBL
11.05.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - VEF Riga	112:100 ✺
08.05.26	VEF Riga - Rīgas Zeļļi	94:84 ✺
04.05.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	67:75 ✺
02.05.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	94:104 ✺
30.04.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	59:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Rīgas Zeļļi
Latvian LBL
11.05.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - VEF Riga	112:100 ✺
08.05.26	VEF Riga - Rīgas Zeļļi	94:84 ✺
03.05.26	Valmiera Glass Via - Rīgas Zeļļi	98:93 ✺
01.05.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Valmiera Glass Via	107:62 ✺
29.04.26	Valmiera Glass Via - Rīgas Zeļļi	104:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian LBL
11.05.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - VEF Riga	112:100
08.05.26	VEF Riga - Rīgas Zeļļi	94:84
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
21.12.25	Rīgas Zeļļi - VEF Riga	80:77
01.11.25	VEF Riga - Rīgas Zeļļi	88:97
13.04.25	VEF Riga - Rīgas Zeļļi	88:82
12.02.25	VEF Riga - Rīgas Zeļļi	80:59
Latvian Cup Basketball
04.02.25	VEF Riga - Rīgas Zeļļi	73:65

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