Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Valparaiso Beacons		Illinois-Chicago Flames

	1	2
	1.63	2.35
	1.62	2.35
	1.6	2.22
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.64	2.23
	1.64	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)	2.27 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valparaiso Beacons
58.4%

Illinois-Chicago Flames
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valparaiso Beacons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Illinois-Chicago Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valparaiso Beacons than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois-Chicago Flames than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois Chicago Flames Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Illinois-Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:69

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valparaiso won 2.

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Illinois-Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Valparaiso will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valparaiso won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1486:1299. (average 74.3:65).

Including home matches between the teams, Valparaiso won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 806:662. (average 80.6:66.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valparaiso Beacons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.01.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Valparaiso Beacons	75:70 ✺
29.12.25	Northern Iowa Panthers - Valparaiso Beacons	58:48 ✺
21.12.25	Valparaiso Beacons - Murray State Racers	79:85 ✺
16.12.25	Northwestern Wildcats - Valparaiso Beacons	86:70 ✺
13.12.25	Valparaiso Beacons - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	70:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Illinois-Chicago Flames basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.01.26	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Murray State Racers	77:81 ✺
21.12.25	Charlotte 49ers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	88:76 OT ✺
17.12.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Northern Iowa Panthers	54:60 ✺
13.12.25	Belmont Bruins - Illinois-Chicago Flames	87:84 ✺
07.12.25	Yale Bulldogs - Illinois-Chicago Flames	80:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
06.03.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons	50:67
02.03.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons	77:73
18.01.25	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois-Chicago Flames	74:81
20.01.24	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois-Chicago Flames	84:77
06.01.24	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons	70:64
19.02.23	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons	74:73
17.01.23	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois-Chicago Flames	76:66

Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois-Chicago Flames: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide