Match Info

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Virtus Bologna		Baskonia

	1	2
	1.6	2.3
	1.62	2.4	Watch
	1.64	2.35	Watch
	1.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	2.34 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
59.1%

Baskonia
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Virtus Bologna - Baskonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 2.

Virtus Bologna has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Baskonia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Virtus Bologna could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Virtus Bologna holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Virtus Bologna has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 732:762 (averaging 81.3:84.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Virtus Bologna against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 327:334 goals (averaging 81.8:83.5 per game).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Virtus Bologna: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
10	Virtus Bologna	4	2	2	343:346
19	Baskonia	4	1	3	347:385

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
08.10.26	Bayern München - Virtus Bologna	87:94 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.10.26	Virtus Bologna - Maxima Roma	98:89 ✺
Euroleague
01.10.26	Virtus Bologna - Olympiacos Piraeus	96:94 ✺
29.09.26	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	87:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
27.09.26	Varese - Virtus Bologna	69:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW
- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
09.10.26	Baskonia - Beşiktaş	84:92 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.10.26	Baskonia - Girona	118:78 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	Baskonia - Olimpia Milano	87:76 ✺
29.09.26	Valencia - Baskonia	111:88 ✺
Spanish ACB League
27.09.26	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	97:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
10.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Baskonia	72:82
06.11.25	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	87:76
10.01.25	Virtus Bologna - Baskonia	76:74
12.12.24	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	81:82
19.04.24	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	89:77
12.04.24	Virtus Bologna - Baskonia	91:95
14.12.23	Baskonia - Virtus Bologna	81:91

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