Match Info

CBA

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Hongshan Arena (Ürümqi)


	Xinjiang Flying Tigers		Guangzhou Long-Lions

	1	2
	1.23	3.9	Watch
	1.27	3.5
	1.3	3.26	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.31	3.31	Watch
	1.22	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.49)	3.58 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Flying Tigers
73.8%

Guangzhou Long-Lions
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Flying Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xinjiang Flying Tigers's performance.

Guangzhou Long-Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Long-Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xinjiang Flying Tigers than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xinjiang Flying Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Long-Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangzhou Long Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Xinjiang will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Guangzhou will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Guanxi Wu	8. Holiday J.
5. Lawson D.	28. Wigginton L.
4. Monhetaner Yilifulati	19. Xin Dayi X.
1. Nutall Z.	11. Yancheng L.
11. Qi Lin	5. Zhaoyao Y.
Substitutes
23. Abudurexiti Abudushalamu	23. Guohao C.
10. Feng Ao	12. Li Xiangbo
36. Haoran Ge	4. Thomas E.
00. Harris K.	7. Weiyun S.
13. Li Yanzhe	2. Xingliang Z.
6. Rui Yang	29. Yingran W.
34. Tuxun Aizimaiti	35. Zhang Kedi
Coaches
. Wei Liu	. Mitchell N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 4.

Xinjiang is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guangzhou's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Xinjiang is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2083:1923. (average 104.2:96.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Xinjiang won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1044:959. (average 104.4:95.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Flying Tigers
CBA
28.12.25	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	95:77 ✺
26.12.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Ducks	85:89 ✺
24.12.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Qingdao DoubleStar	79:97 ✺
20.12.25	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	92:86 ✺
18.12.25	Beijing Royal Fighters - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	95:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
28.12.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers	87:74 ✺
26.12.25	Fujian Xunxing - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:84 ✺
23.12.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	85:93 ✺
21.12.25	Jiangsu Dragons - Guangzhou Long-Lions	86:93 ✺
19.12.25	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
16.03.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	80:116
18.01.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	116:97
26.04.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	71:93
24.04.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	105:83
21.04.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	113:86
19.04.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	108:91
16.03.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	108:96

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