Match Info

The Ford Trophy

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Ford Trophy 🌤️ ...


	Central Stags		Canterbury Kings

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.58
	2.20	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.27	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.28)	1.6 (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Stags
42.1%

Canterbury Kings
57.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Stags has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Canterbury Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Stags than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury Kings than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Stags won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Canterbury is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Central Stags will win today's game, with odds of 2.2.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Stags won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 3387:4237. (average 169.4:211.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Stags won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1681:1939. (average 168.1:193.9).

Standings

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
4	Central Stags	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Canterbury Kings - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.76%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Stags
Ford Trophy
12.02.26	Central Stags - Otago Volts	Abandoned ✺
09.02.26	Northern Brave - Central Stags	309:240 ✺
06.02.26	Central Stags - Auckland Aces	164:163 ✺
03.02.26	Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags	289:307 ✺
Super Smash
25.01.26	Auckland Aces - Central Stags	219:210 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?LWWL
- Canterbury Kings
Ford Trophy
12.02.26	Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds	69:68 ✺
09.02.26	Otago Volts - Canterbury Kings	Abandoned ✺
06.02.26	Canterbury Kings - Northern Brave	162:158 ✺
03.02.26	Auckland Aces - Canterbury Kings	124:384 ✺
Super Smash
30.01.26	Northern Brave - Canterbury Kings	173:171 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

Super Smash
02.01.26	Central Stags - Canterbury Kings	139:145
31.12.25	Canterbury Kings - Central Stags	194:158
Plunket Shield
04.12.25	Central Stags - Canterbury Kings	239:124
Ford Trophy
11.11.25	Canterbury Kings - Central Stags	266:264
Plunket Shield
20.03.25	Canterbury Kings - Central Stags	423:111
Ford Trophy
13.02.25	Central Stags - Canterbury Kings	176:180
Super Smash
01.02.25	Central Stags - Canterbury Kings	136:135

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Stags
Ford Trophy
27.10.26	Central Stags - Northern Brave
- Canterbury Kings
Ford Trophy
27.10.26	Auckland Aces - Canterbury Kings

Central Stags - Canterbury Kings: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide