Match Info

The Ford Trophy

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Ford Trophy 🌤️ ...


	Wellington Firebirds		Central Stags

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.58
	2.47	1.49	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.2	1.69	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.13)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wellington Firebirds
41.7%

Central Stags
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Central Stags has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Firebirds than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Stags than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Central Stags will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wellington (votes: 2 - 100%).

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Central Stags is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 3632:3744. (average 181.6:187.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 888:659. (average 126.9:94.1).

Standings

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
4	Central Stags	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Wellington Firebirds	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Wellington Firebirds - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.24%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Central Stags - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.76%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Firebirds
Super Smash
22.01.26	Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds	136:178 ✺
18.01.26	Wellington Firebirds - Canterbury Kings	193:105 ✺
14.01.26	Otago Volts - Wellington Firebirds	136:132 ✺
10.01.26	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	185:189 ✺
08.01.26	Wellington Firebirds - Otago Volts	150:152 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL
- Central Stags
Super Smash
25.01.26	Auckland Aces - Central Stags	219:210 ✺
23.01.26	Central Stags - Otago Volts	134:133 ✺
19.01.26	Northern Brave - Central Stags	Abandoned ✺
15.01.26	Central Stags - Auckland Aces	142:132 ✺
12.01.26	Central Stags - Northern Brave	146:120 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LW?WW

Latest Head to Head

Super Smash
06.01.26	Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags	195:197
26.12.25	Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds	188:142
Plunket Shield
25.11.25	Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags	354:118
Ford Trophy
24.10.25	Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds	201:199
22.02.25	Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds	253:251
Super Smash
08.01.25	Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags	192:196
03.01.25	Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds	179:190

Upcoming Matches