Match Info

Big Bash League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports Cricket


	Hobart Hurricanes		Melbourne Stars

	1	2
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.88	1.88
	2.75	1.42	Watch
	1.9	1.9
	1.86	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.71)	1.79 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hobart Hurricanes
46.6%

Melbourne Stars
53.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hobart Hurricanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hobart Hurricanes's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Stars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobart Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hobart Hurricanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Stars Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stars (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Melbourne Stars will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hurricanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 3144:3132. (average 157.2:156.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hurricanes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1198:1055. (average 149.8:131.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hobart Hurricanes
Australian Big Bash T20
14.01.26	Hobart Hurricanes - Brisbane Heat	157:160 ✺
10.01.26	Sydney Sixers - Hobart Hurricanes	Abandoned ✺
09.01.26	Hobart Hurricanes - Adelaide Strikers	178:141 ✺
03.01.26	Sydney Thunder - Hobart Hurricanes	205:207 ✺
01.01.26	Hobart Hurricanes - Perth Scorchers	189:229 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 L?WWL
- Melbourne Stars
Australian Big Bash T20
17.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Stars	134:130 ✺
13.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers	86:83 ✺
10.01.26	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	166:170 ✺
08.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Sixers	128:129 ✺
04.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades	173:177 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Big Bash T20
18.12.25	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	159:158
19.01.25	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	219:179
15.01.24	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	180:187
28.12.23	Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Stars	155:67
09.01.23	Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Stars	133:131
16.12.22	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	183:145
19.01.22	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	273:167

Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide