Match Info

Big Bash League

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Cricket
Australia	Fox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Nigeria	SuperSport Cricket
North-central-america	SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
South-africa	SuperSport Cricket
United-kingdom	Sky Go


	Perth Scorchers		Melbourne Stars

	1	2
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.68	2.15
	1.38	2.90	Watch
	1.7	2.15
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)	2.34 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Scorchers
59.6%

Melbourne Stars
40.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Scorchers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perth Scorchers's performance.

Melbourne Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Stars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Scorchers than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Stars Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scorchers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Perth Scorchers will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scorchers won 5.

Scorchers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stars has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Scorchers will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Scorchers won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2833:2688. (average 141.7:134.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Scorchers won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1403:1348. (average 127.5:122.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Melbourne Stars - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.83%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Scorchers
Australian Big Bash T20
15.01.26	Melbourne Renegades - Perth Scorchers	169:219 ✺
11.01.26	Adelaide Strikers - Perth Scorchers	200:232 ✺
07.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Renegades	127:130 ✺
04.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Adelaide Strikers	153:120 ✺
01.01.26	Hobart Hurricanes - Perth Scorchers	189:229 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW
- Melbourne Stars
Australian Big Bash T20
13.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers	86:83 ✺
10.01.26	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	166:170 ✺
08.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Sixers	128:129 ✺
04.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades	173:177 ✺
02.01.26	Brisbane Heat - Melbourne Stars	199:195 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Big Bash T20
15.12.24	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Stars	150:146
13.12.23	Melbourne Stars - Perth Scorchers	101:102
29.12.22	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Stars	136:135
22.12.22	Melbourne Stars - Perth Scorchers	168:229
10.01.22	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Stars	196:149
01.01.22	Melbourne Stars - Perth Scorchers	130:180
23.01.21	Melbourne Stars - Perth Scorchers	171:182

Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide