Match Info

WORLD: ICC Champions Trophy - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Referee: Illingworth RK (Eng)


	India		Australia

	1	2
	1.5	2.63
	1.52	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.55	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	2.53 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 527.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

India
62.5%

Australia
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

India has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for India than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Sharma R.	. Head T.
. Gill S.	. Connolly C.
. Kohli V.	. Smith S.
. Iyer S.	. Labuschagne M.
. Patel A.	. Inglis J.
. KL Rahul	. Carey A.
. Pandya H.	. Maxwell G.
. Jadeja R.	. Dwarshuis B.
. Shami M.	. Ellis N.
. Yadav K.	. Sangha T.
. Chakravarthy V.	. Zampa A.
Coaches
. Gambhir G.	. McDonald A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches India won 1.

India in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Australia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Australia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

India will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's India to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 20 head-to-head matches India won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 5322:5194 (average 266.1:259.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- India cricket
ICC Champions Trophy
02.03.25	New Zealand - India	205:249 ✺
23.02.25	Pakistan - India	241:244 ✺
20.02.25	Bangladesh - India	228:231 ✺
One Day International
12.02.25	India - England	356:214 ✺
09.02.25	India - England	308:304 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Australia cricket
ICC Champions Trophy
28.02.25	Afghanistan - Australia	Abandoned ✺
25.02.25	Australia - South Africa	Abandoned ✺
22.02.25	Australia - England	356:351 ✺
One Day International
13.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	281:107 ✺
11.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	214:165 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ??WLL

Latest Head to Head

Test Series
02.01.25	Australia - India	343:342
25.12.24	Australia - India	708:524
13.12.24	Australia - India	Match drawn.
05.12.24	Australia - India	356:355
21.11.24	Australia - India	342:637
T20 World Cup
24.06.24	Australia - India	181:205
Twenty20 International
03.12.23	India - Australia	160:154

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