Match Info

County Championship One

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Cooper Associates County Ground (Taunton)


	Somerset		Essex

	1	2
	1.8	2
	1.78	1.95
	1.79	2.07
	1.73	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.73)	2.02 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somerset
53.2%

Essex
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somerset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Essex has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somerset than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essex than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somerset won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Somerset won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4677:4484. (average 233.9:224.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Somerset won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2216:2116. (average 221.6:211.6).

Standings

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
2	Somerset	14	6	3	5	0	7807:6243	205
8	Essex	14	4	7	3	0	6200:6299	136

Last Results with these Odds

Somerset - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.11%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Essex - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.89%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somerset County Cricket Club
Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.26	Somerset - Lancashire	269:443 ✺
07.08.26	Somerset - Surrey	368:180 ✺
02.08.26	Leicestershire - Somerset	289:125 ✺
31.07.26	Kent - Somerset	314:313 ✺
26.07.26	Somerset - Warwickshire	337:212 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW
- Essex Eagles
Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.26	Essex - Yorkshire	151:155 ✺
07.08.26	Glamorgan - Essex	309:312 ✺
02.08.26	Essex - Worcestershire	376:269 ✺
31.07.26	Essex - Hampshire	317:321 ✺
29.07.26	Sussex - Essex	320:316 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

County Championship One Cricket
10.04.26	Essex - Somerset	149:348
24.09.25	Essex - Somerset	438:433
Vitality Blast
08.07.25	Somerset - Essex	225:130
01.06.25	Essex - Somerset	148:149
County Championship One Cricket
02.05.25	Somerset - Essex	145:206
Vitality Blast
05.07.24	Essex - Somerset	Abandoned
31.05.24	Somerset - Essex	197:193

Somerset - Essex: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide