The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Somerset 54.6%
Surrey 45.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somerset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Surrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somerset than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surrey than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somerset won 3.
Somerset is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Surrey have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Somerset in today's match, at odds of 1.72.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Somerset has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4715:5100 (averaging 235.8:255 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Somerset against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 2286:2258 goals (averaging 254:250.9 per game).
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