The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Glamorgan 46%
Essex 54%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Glamorgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glamorgan's form might have worsened.
Essex has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Essex's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glamorgan than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Glamorgan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essex than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Essex, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glamorgan won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Glamorgan (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Essex is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Glamorgan has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3556:4120 (averaging 177.8:206 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Glamorgan against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 2004:2270 goals (averaging 182.2:206.4 per game).
Standings
Pts
W
L
D
N/R
Pts
6
Glamorgan
14
4
5
5
0
6432:6767
159
8
Essex
14
4
7
3
0
6200:6299
136
Last Results with these Odds
Glamorgan - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.72%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Essex - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.28%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
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