Match Info

T20 World Cup - Second stage

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video
Canada	Willow TV
India	JioStar, JioTV app
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	Willow TV
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Sri Lanka		New Zealand

	1	2
	2.32	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.52
	2.70	1.43	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.38	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.27)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sri Lanka
39.5%

New Zealand
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sri Lanka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sri Lanka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sri Lanka - New Zealand Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sri Lanka will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sri Lanka (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sri Lanka won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sri Lanka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

New Zealand is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Sri Lanka will win today's game, with odds of 2.3.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sri Lanka won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 4049:3910. (average 202.5:195.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sri Lanka cricket
T20 World Cup
22.02.26	Sri Lanka - England	95:146 ✺
19.02.26	Sri Lanka - Zimbabwe	178:182 ✺
16.02.26	Australia - Sri Lanka	181:184 ✺
12.02.26	Sri Lanka - Oman	225:120 ✺
08.02.26	Sri Lanka - Ireland	163:143 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWW
- New Zealand cricket
T20 World Cup
21.02.26	Pakistan - New Zealand	Abandoned ✺
17.02.26	Canada - New Zealand	173:176 ✺
14.02.26	New Zealand - South Africa	175:178 ✺
10.02.26	New Zealand - United Arab Emirates	175:173 ✺
08.02.26	Afghanistan - New Zealand	182:183 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

One Day International
10.01.25	New Zealand - Sri Lanka	150:290
07.01.25	New Zealand - Sri Lanka	255:142
04.01.25	New Zealand - Sri Lanka	180:178
Twenty20 International
01.01.25	New Zealand - Sri Lanka	211:218
30.12.24	New Zealand - Sri Lanka	186:141
28.12.24	New Zealand - Sri Lanka	172:164
One Day International
19.11.24	Sri Lanka - New Zealand	Abandoned

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