Match Info

County Championship One

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: The Oval (London)


	Surrey		Nottinghamshire

	1	2
	1.8	2
	1.78	1.95
	1.79	2.07
	1.77	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.77)	2 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surrey
52.8%

Nottinghamshire
47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Surrey have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Nottinghamshire have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surrey than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottinghamshire than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Nottinghamshire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nottinghamshire has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 6414:5423. (average 320.7:271.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Surrey won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3052:2535. (average 339.1:281.7).

Standings

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
4	Nottinghamshire	14	5	3	6	0	7019:6207	192
7	Surrey	14	2	4	8	0	7215:7938	152

Last Results with these Odds

Nottinghamshire - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.2%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surrey County Cricket Club
Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.26	Surrey - Nottinghamshire	298:299 ✺
07.08.26	Somerset - Surrey	368:180 ✺
05.08.26	Surrey - Kent	286:191 ✺
31.07.26	Gloucestershire - Surrey	292:311 ✺
29.07.26	Warwickshire - Surrey	341:296 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL
- Nottinghamshire County Cricket Club
Royal London One-Day Cup
16.08.26	Leicestershire - Nottinghamshire	303:280 ✺
14.08.26	Yorkshire - Nottinghamshire	273:277 ✺
11.08.26	Surrey - Nottinghamshire	298:299 ✺
07.08.26	Nottinghamshire - Northamptonshire	261:259 ✺
02.08.26	Kent - Nottinghamshire	294:293 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.26	Surrey - Nottinghamshire	298:299
Vitality Blast
15.07.26	Nottinghamshire - Surrey	163:156
County Championship One Cricket
08.05.26	Nottinghamshire - Surrey	Match drawn
15.09.25	Surrey - Nottinghamshire	173:231
Royal London One-Day Cup
24.08.25	Nottinghamshire - Surrey	279:289
County Championship One Cricket
29.08.24	Nottinghamshire - Surrey	405:525
Royal London One-Day Cup
04.08.24	Surrey - Nottinghamshire	271:378

Surrey - Nottinghamshire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide