Match Info

County Championship One

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday


	Sussex		Somerset

	1	2
	2.35	1.6
	2.28	1.57
	2.4	1.6
	2.37	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.34)	1.58 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sussex
40.2%

Somerset
59.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sussex has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Somerset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sussex than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somerset than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sussex won 1.

Sussex has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Somerset's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Somerset will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sussex won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 3955:4348. (average 197.8:217.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sussex won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1606:1894. (average 160.6:189.4).

Standings

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
2	Somerset	14	6	3	5	0	7807:6243	205
3	Sussex	14	7	3	4	0	7196:6599	195

Last Results with these Odds

Sussex - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Somerset - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.72%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sussex County Cricket Club
County Championship One Cricket
20.08.26	Warwickshire - Sussex	367:363 ✺
Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.26	Middlesex - Sussex	354:262 ✺
07.08.26	Sussex - Worcestershire	333:334 ✺
02.08.26	Derbyshire - Sussex	325:137 ✺
29.07.26	Sussex - Essex	320:316 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Somerset County Cricket Club
County Championship One Cricket
20.08.26	Somerset - Essex	572:570 ✺
Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.26	Somerset - Lancashire	269:443 ✺
07.08.26	Somerset - Surrey	368:180 ✺
02.08.26	Leicestershire - Somerset	289:125 ✺
31.07.26	Kent - Somerset	314:313 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

County Championship One Cricket
15.05.26	Somerset - Sussex	526:253
Royal London One-Day Cup
21.08.25	Sussex - Somerset	153:243
Vitality Blast
06.06.25	Sussex - Somerset	166:169
County Championship One Cricket
16.05.25	Somerset - Sussex	338:152
11.04.25	Sussex - Somerset	294:201
Vitality Blast
18.07.24	Somerset - Sussex	162:158
Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.23	Somerset - Sussex	318:319

Sussex - Somerset: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide