Match Info

European Championship - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Westfalenhalle (Dortmund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports 503
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	ITV 4
World	PDC TV


	Danny Noppert		Luke Humphries

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	4.35	1.2
	3.04	1.32	Watch
	3.93	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.04)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 17.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danny Noppert
25.1%

Luke Humphries
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Danny Noppert's form might have worsened.

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luke Humphries's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Humphries will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luke Humphries will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:11

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Preview

Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 10. Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Humphries may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Humphries is the team to beat.

We predict that Humphries will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noppert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 3.6:4.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 69.72%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danny Noppert
Darts
26.10.25	Danny Noppert - Ricardo Pietreczko	10:5 ✺
25.10.25	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	7:10 ✺
24.10.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Danny Noppert	3:6 ✺
19.10.25	Gian Van Veen - Danny Noppert	6:3 ✺
19.10.25	Gerwyn Price - Danny Noppert	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW
- Luke Humphries
Darts
26.10.25	James Wade - Luke Humphries	3:10 ✺
25.10.25	Luke Humphries - Cameron Menzies	10:9 ✺
24.10.25	Luke Humphries - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:0 ✺
12.10.25	Luke Humphries - Luke Littler	1:6 ✺
11.10.25	Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
11.10.25	Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert	5:3
02.02.25	Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert	5:2
01.04.24	Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries	2:6
30.04.23	Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries	5:6
26.02.21	Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries	6:1 best of 11 legs

Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide