Match Info

WORLD: PREMIER LEAGUE - NIGHT 13 - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday

Location: First Direct Arena (Leeds)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
Germany	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nathan Aspinall		Dimitri van den Bergh

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.8	2
	1.8	2
	1.75	2.1
	1.8	2
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.77	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
53%

Dimitri van den Bergh
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Dimitri van den Bergh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dimitri van den Bergh than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Nathan Aspinall - Dimitri van den Bergh Predictions

Users Predictions: Nathan Aspinall will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aspinall won 1.

Recent matches Aspinall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

van den Bergh is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aspinall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Aspinall won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 52-72.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
23.04.23	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	5:6 ✺
22.04.23	Nathan Aspinall - Hannes Schnier	6:2 ✺
20.04.23	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	4:6
20.04.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	5:6 ✺
13.04.23	Peter Wright - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL
- Dimitri van den Bergh
Darts
20.04.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Peter Wright	6:3 ✺
13.04.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Michael Van Gerwen	2:6 ✺
09.04.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Chris Dobey	2:6 ✺
06.04.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Gerwyn Price	5:6 ✺
01.04.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Niko Springer	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.03.23	Nathan Aspinall - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:5
16.03.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Nathan Aspinall	6:4
16.02.23	Nathan Aspinall - Dimitri van den Bergh	1:6
14.05.22	Dimitri van den Bergh - Nathan Aspinall	6:4 best of 11 legs
06.05.21	Nathan Aspinall - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:8 best of 14 legs
06.04.21	Dimitri van den Bergh - Nathan Aspinall	7:5 best of 12 legs
22.11.20	Nathan Aspinall - Dimitri van den Bergh	15:16 best of 31 legs

Nathan Aspinall - Dimitri van den Bergh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide