Match Info

Premier League - Night 14 - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: First Direct Arena (Leeds) 🌤️ ...


	Josh Rock		Luke Humphries

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.46
	2.56	1.42
	2.75	1.44
	2.63	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.64)	1.45 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josh Rock
35.4%

Luke Humphries
64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Josh Rock have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Luke Humphries have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josh Rock than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Josh Rock - Luke Humphries Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rock will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Humphries will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Preview

Rock is ranked World Ranking: 8. Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Humphries is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Humphries will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rock won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 3.3:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.55%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josh Rock
Darts
30.04.26	Josh Rock - Luke Littler	3:6 ✺
28.04.26	Josh Rock - Jeffrey de Graaf	6:5 ✺
23.04.26	Josh Rock - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6 ✺
19.04.26	Josh Rock - Ross Smith	5:6 ✺
18.04.26	Josh Rock - Keane Barry	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW
- Luke Humphries
Darts
30.04.26	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	6:3 ✺
27.04.26	Luke Humphries - Rhys Griffin	6:2 ✺
23.04.26	Luke Humphries - Luke Littler	2:6 ✺
16.04.26	Gian Van Veen - Luke Humphries	2:6 ✺
14.04.26	Luke Humphries - Christian Kist	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.02.26	Luke Humphries - Josh Rock	6:2
01.02.25	Luke Humphries - Josh Rock	4:0
29.09.24	Josh Rock - Luke Humphries	6:1
15.11.22	Luke Humphries - Josh Rock	3:5 best of 9 legs

Josh Rock - Luke Humphries