Match Info

Players Championship Finals - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Butlin's Minehead Resort (Minehead) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	23:10	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	23:10	Viaplay
Finland	00:10	Viaplay
Germany	23:10	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	23:10	Sport 1
Iceland	22:10	Viaplay
Netherlands	23:10	Viaplay
Norway	23:10	Viaplay
Slovakia	23:10	Voyo
Sweden	23:10	Viaplay
International	22:10	PDC TV


	Karel Sedlacek		Nathan Aspinall

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.27	Watch
	2.97	1.32	Watch
	2.81	1.39	Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (3)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karel Sedlacek
30.6%

Nathan Aspinall
69.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karel Sedlacek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karel Sedlacek than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Karel Sedlacek - Nathan Aspinall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Preview

Sedlacek is ranked World Ranking: 71. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 21.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Aspinall is considered a favorite.

We predict that Aspinall will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sedlacek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 3:6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karel Sedlacek
Darts
11.11.25	Connor Scuut - Karel Sedlacek	5:3 ✺
09.11.25	Daryl Gurney - Karel Sedlacek	3:5 ✺
08.11.25	Luke Littler - Karel Sedlacek	5:1 ✺
17.10.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Karel Sedlacek	6:4 ✺
14.10.25	Gabriel Clemens - Karel Sedlacek	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLW
- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
10.11.25	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	5:3 ✺
09.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Alex Spellman	5:2 ✺
08.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Smith	3:5 ✺
25.10.25	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	7:10 ✺
24.10.25	Nathan Aspinall - Robert Cross	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
04.09.22	Karel Sedlacek - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 best of 11 legs
07.05.22	Nathan Aspinall - Karel Sedlacek	6:2 best of 11 legs

Karel Sedlacek - Nathan Aspinall