Match Info

European Tour 3 - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Oktoberhallen (Wieze)


	Luke Humphries		Chris Dobey

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.5
	1.45	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.47	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	2.58 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
63.9%

Chris Dobey
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Chris Dobey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 13.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 3.

Humphries has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dobey's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dobey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Humphries is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:43. (average 4.2:4.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.79%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
22.03.26	Luke Humphries - Jermaine Wattimena	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Luke Humphries - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:4 ✺
19.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Luke Humphries	3:6 ✺
12.03.26	Luke Humphries - Gian Van Veen	6:4 ✺
07.03.26	Luke Humphries - Dave Chisnall	10:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW
- Chris Dobey
Darts
22.03.26	Kim Huybrechts - Chris Dobey	3:6 ✺
21.03.26	Chris Dobey - Dave Chisnall	6:3 ✺
15.03.26	Josh Rock - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
14.03.26	Chris Dobey - Luke Woodhouse	6:1 ✺
06.03.26	Chris Dobey - James Wade	9:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
17.04.25	Chris Dobey - Luke Humphries	6:3
27.03.25	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	6:3
13.02.25	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	6:4
31.07.24	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	4:6
27.05.23	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	6:5
28.01.23	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	8:10
03.10.22	Chris Dobey - Luke Humphries	2:0 best of 5 sets

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