Match Info

European Tour 15 - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MECC Maastricht (Maastricht) 🌤️ ...


	William OConnor		Luke Woodhouse

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.48	1.52
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.17	1.66
	2.07	1.70
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

William OConnor
42.4%

Luke Woodhouse
57.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

William OConnor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Luke Woodhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for William OConnor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Woodhouse than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

William OConnor - Luke Woodhouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

OConnor is ranked World Ranking: 33., and Woodhouse is ranked World Ranking: 18..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Woodhouse could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Woodhouse holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Woodhouse in today's match, at odds of 1.6.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, OConnor has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:19 (averaging 4.3:4.8 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Woodhouse - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.38%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- William OConnor
Darts
17.10.26	Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor	5:6 ✺
16.10.26	William OConnor - Richard Veenstra	6:2 ✺
10.10.26	Ross Smith - William OConnor	6:4 ✺
09.10.26	William OConnor - Jani Haavisto	6:1 ✺
29.09.26	Ryan Searle - William OConnor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL
- Luke Woodhouse
Darts
17.10.26	Luke Woodhouse - Andrew Gilding	6:1 ✺
10.10.26	Luke Woodhouse - Robert Cross	4:6 ✺
30.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - Nathan Aspinall	0:3 ✺
28.09.26	Luke Littler - Luke Woodhouse	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - Justin Hood	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
12.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - William OConnor	6:3
05.09.25	Luke Woodhouse - William OConnor	5:6
09.09.20	William OConnor - Luke Woodhouse	2:5 best of 9 legs
14.06.19	Luke Woodhouse - William OConnor	3:6 best of 11 legs

William OConnor - Luke Woodhouse