Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: NZ DARTS MASTERS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Globox Arena (Hamilton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
Hungary	Sport 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Michael Smith		Damon Heta

	1	2
	1.62	2.3
	1.6	2.2
	1.52	2.35
	1.61	2.27
	1.59	2.25
	1.53	2.5
	1.58	2.32	Watch
	1.54	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)	2.33 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
59.7%

Damon Heta
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Damon Heta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Michael Smith aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Damon Heta aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Michael Smith - Damon Heta Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Heta will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Recent matches Smith is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Smith will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Smith won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
04.08.23	Michael Smith - Darren Penhall	6:5 ✺
18.07.23	Michael Smith - Chris Dobey	7:11 ✺
16.07.23	Michael Smith - Steve Beaton	10:2 ✺
08.07.23	Michael Smith - Michael Van Gerwen	3:7
08.07.23	Michael Smith - Danny Noppert	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW
- Damon Heta
Darts
04.08.23	Damon Heta - Darren Herewini	6:2 ✺
21.07.23	Damon Heta - Luke Humphries	13:16 ✺
19.07.23	Brendan Dolan - Damon Heta	1:11 ✺
16.07.23	Damon Heta - Josh Rock	10:5 ✺
11.07.23	Damon Heta - Owen Roelofs	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.08.22	Michael Smith - Damon Heta	6:5 best of 11 legs
19.06.22	Michael Smith - Damon Heta	3:4 best of 7 legs
29.05.22	Damon Heta - Michael Smith	3:6 best of 11 legs
11.12.20	Michael Smith - Damon Heta	1:4 best of 7 legs

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