Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Michael Van Gerwen		Adrian Lewis

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.33	3.3
	1.35	3.15
	1.35	3.13
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)	3.18 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
70.2%

Adrian Lewis
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Adrian Lewis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Lewis than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Lewis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Michael Van Gerwen - Adrian Lewis Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:7

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Van Gerwen won 4.

Van Gerwen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lewis is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lewis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Van Gerwen is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Van Gerwen won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 161-90.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
24.06.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	4:6 best of 11 legs ✺
13.06.22	Michael Van Gerwen - James Wade	10:4 best of 19 legs ✺
11.06.22	Michael Van Gerwen - James Wade	4:10 best of 19 legs ✺
10.06.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Marko Kantele	6:1 best of 11 legs ✺
04.06.22	Michael Smith - Michael Van Gerwen	8:4 best of 15 legs
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Adrian Lewis
Darts
10.07.22	Adrian Lewis - Shaun Wilkinson	6:5 best of 11 legs
09.07.22	Adrian Lewis - Josh Rock	6:1 best of 11 legs
08.07.22	Adrian Lewis - Keane Barry	6:5 best of 11 legs
21.05.22	Jonny Clayton - Adrian Lewis	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
20.05.22	Luke Woodhouse - Adrian Lewis	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.11.19	Adrian Lewis - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6 best of 11 legs
16.11.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Adrian Lewis	16:6 best of 31 legs
10.11.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Adrian Lewis	5:2 best of 9 legs
27.12.18	Michael Van Gerwen - Adrian Lewis	4:1 best of 5 sets
16.09.17	Adrian Lewis - Michael Van Gerwen	4:10 best of 19 legs
27.04.17	Adrian Lewis - Michael Van Gerwen	0:7 best of 12 legs
23.02.17	Michael Van Gerwen - Adrian Lewis	6:6 best of 12 legs

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