Match Info

Grand Slam - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: WV Active Aldersley (Wolverhampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
World	PDC TV


	Michael Van Gerwen		Danny Noppert

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.49	2.40	Watch
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
60.6%

Danny Noppert
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Danny Noppert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:7

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Van Gerwen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 53:39. (average 5.3:3.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.7%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
11.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	5:2 ✺
09.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Niko Springer	4:5 ✺
08.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Beau Greaves	5:4 ✺
26.10.25	Gian Van Veen - Michael Van Gerwen	11:9 ✺
26.10.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	10:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Danny Noppert
Darts
11.11.25	Jonny Clayton - Danny Noppert	5:4 ✺
09.11.25	Danny Noppert - Cameron Crabtree	5:4 ✺
08.11.25	Danny Noppert - Lukas Wenig	5:4 ✺
26.10.25	Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries	8:11 ✺
26.10.25	Danny Noppert - Ricardo Pietreczko	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
21.09.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	5:6
14.09.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	6:3
01.09.24	Danny Noppert - Michael Van Gerwen	2:6
26.05.24	Danny Noppert - Michael Van Gerwen	1:6
27.11.22	Danny Noppert - Michael Van Gerwen	7:10 best of 19 legs
24.06.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	4:6 best of 11 legs
27.02.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	4:6 best of 11 legs

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