Match Info

PDC World Championship - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Darts


	Michael Van Gerwen		Gary Anderson

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.98	Watch
	2.32	1.53	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.83	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)	1.88 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
49.3%

Gary Anderson
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Gary Anderson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gary Anderson than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Anderson will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 2 - 40%). Anderson (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Anderson is ranked World Ranking: 14.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 3.

Now, both players are in good form.

Van Gerwen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 134:95. (average 6.7:4.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.43%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
28.12.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Arno Merk	4:1 ✺
23.12.25	Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor	3:1 ✺
18.12.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Mitsuhiko Tatsunami	3:1 ✺
13.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	6:10 ✺
11.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Gary Anderson
Darts
28.12.25	Gary Anderson - Jermaine Wattimena	4:3 ✺
23.12.25	Gary Anderson - Connor Scuut	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Gary Anderson - Adam Hunt	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Ricardo Pietreczko - Gary Anderson	6:5 ✺
21.11.25	Gary Anderson - Mario Vandenbogaerde	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
11.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	5:2
10.11.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	4:5
26.10.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	4:10
07.05.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	6:1
03.10.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	2:0 best of 5 sets
07.04.22	Gary Anderson - Michael Van Gerwen	van Gerwen M. best of 11 legs walkover
04.03.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	10:7 best of 19 legs

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