Match Info

Date: 8 October 2020, Thursday


	Michael Van Gerwen		Devon Petersen

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.37	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.05
	1.36	3.2
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	3.14 (3.14)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
69.9%

Devon Petersen
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Devon Petersen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Devon Petersen than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Devon Petersen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Michael Van Gerwen - Devon Petersen Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Van Gerwen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Petersen is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Van Gerwen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Van Gerwen is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Van Gerwen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
06.10.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	2:1 best of 5 sets ✺
27.09.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Mervyn King	1:6 best of 11 legs ✺
26.09.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Steve Lennon	6:2 best of 11 legs ✺
19.09.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Glen Durrant	4:6 best of 11 legs ✺
05.09.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	2:8 best of 14 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL
- Devon Petersen
Darts
06.10.20	Jose Oliveira De Sousa - Devon Petersen	0:2 best of 5 sets ✺
27.09.20	Devon Petersen - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
27.09.20	Devon Petersen - Robert Cross	6:5 best of 11 legs ✺
26.09.20	Gerwyn Price - Devon Petersen	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
25.09.20	Jeffrey de Zwaan - Devon Petersen	3:6 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
24.06.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Devon Petersen	Canceled
08.03.15	Michael Van Gerwen - Devon Petersen	10:5

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