Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Michael Van Gerwen		Mervyn King

	1	2
	1.36	3.2
	1.36	3.1
	1.34	3.25
	1.36	2.9
	1.4	2.99
	1.36	3
	1.36	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.36)	3.08 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
69.4%

Mervyn King
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mervyn King has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mervyn King than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mervyn King could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Michael Van Gerwen - Mervyn King Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:7

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Van Gerwen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Van Gerwen is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Van Gerwen won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 61-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
30.10.21	Michael Van Gerwen - Maik Kuivenhoven	6:4 best of 11 legs ✺
21.10.21	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	3:6 best of 11 legs
17.10.21	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	11:10 best of 21 legs ✺
17.10.21	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	8:10 best of 19 legs ✺
16.10.21	Michael Van Gerwen - James Wade	10:4 best of 19 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL
- Mervyn King
Darts
30.10.21	Madars Razma - Mervyn King	0:6 best of 11 legs ✺
29.10.21	James Wade - Mervyn King	0:6 best of 11 legs ✺
15.10.21	Nathan Aspinall - Mervyn King	6:4 best of 11 legs ✺
05.10.21	Gerwyn Price - Mervyn King	3:1 best of 5 sets ✺
03.10.21	Martijn Kleermaker - Mervyn King	0:2 best of 5 sets ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
29.11.20	Mervyn King - Michael Van Gerwen	10:11 best of 21 legs
17.10.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Mervyn King	6:1 best of 11 legs
27.09.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Mervyn King	1:6 best of 11 legs
24.11.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Mervyn King	10:6 best of 19 legs
10.10.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Mervyn King	3:1 best of 5 sets
23.03.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Mervyn King	6:1 best of 11 legs
01.03.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Mervyn King	6:10 best of 19 legs

Michael Van Gerwen - Mervyn King