Match Info

European Tour 10 - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Ostermann Arena (Leverkusen)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Joe Cullen

	1	2
	1.50	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.60
	1.5	2.49	Watch
	1.46	2.65
	1.48	2.47
	1.47	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.49)	2.56 (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
63.3%

Joe Cullen
36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Michael Van Gerwen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Joe Cullen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joe Cullen than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joe Cullen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Michael Van Gerwen - Joe Cullen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cullen will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Cullen is ranked World Ranking: 31.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.

Van Gerwen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cullen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Van Gerwen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Van Gerwen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 76:45. (average 6.3:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.26%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
07.07.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Tom Bissell	6:5 ✺
21.06.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Andrew Gilding	4:6 ✺
20.06.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:5 ✺
06.06.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Viktor Tingstrom	6:5 ✺
05.06.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Oskar Lukasiak	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW
- Joe Cullen
Darts
10.07.26	Joe Cullen - Charlie Manby	6:4 ✺
20.06.26	Ross Smith - Joe Cullen	6:5 ✺
19.06.26	Joe Cullen - Peter Kelemen	6:3 ✺
30.05.26	Dave Chisnall - Joe Cullen	6:4 ✺
29.05.26	Joe Cullen - Marcel Hausotter	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
17.07.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Joe Cullen	11:8
01.04.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Joe Cullen	6:0
15.10.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Joe Cullen	6:5
19.07.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Joe Cullen	11:5 best of 21 legs
05.05.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Joe Cullen	6:5 best of 11 legs
17.02.22	Joe Cullen - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6 best of 11 legs
30.01.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Joe Cullen	7:10 best of 19 legs

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