Match Info

Premier League - Night 3 - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: OVO Hydro (Glasgow)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Luke Littler

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.3	1.32
	2.95	1.33
	3.3	1.33
	3.1	1.33
	3.4	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
29.1%

Luke Littler
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Luke Littler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Van Gerwen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Littler than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luke Littler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Littler will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Littler (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Littler is ranked World Ranking: 1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 2.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Van Gerwen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Littler is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Littler will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 60:79. (average 4.3:5.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Littler - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 69.6%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
12.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	6:2 ✺
10.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Charlie Manby	6:3 ✺
05.02.26	Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen	2:6 ✺
29.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	1:3 ✺
20.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW
- Luke Littler
Darts
12.02.26	Luke Littler - Luke Humphries	6:5 ✺
05.02.26	Luke Littler - Gian Van Veen	4:6 ✺
01.02.26	Luke Littler - Gerwyn Price	5:4 ✺
01.02.26	Luke Littler - Josh Rock	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Luke Littler - Ross Smith	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
24.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler	6:5
06.03.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler	2:6
13.02.25	Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen	6:2
06.02.25	Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6
25.01.25	Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen	6:3
03.01.25	Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen	7:3
20.10.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler	1:6

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