Match Info

Premier League - Night 10 - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brighton Centre (Brighton) 🌤️ ...


	Michael Van Gerwen		Gian Van Veen

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.9
	1.85	1.9
	1.93	1.74
	2	1.8
	1.87	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.99)	1.85 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
49.2%

Gian Van Veen
50.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Gian Van Veen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gian Van Veen than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gian Van Veen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Michael Van Gerwen - Gian Van Veen Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michael Van Gerwen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Van Veen is ranked World Ranking: 3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 2.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Van Veen will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 5.2:5.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
05.04.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Niko Springer	1:6 ✺
02.04.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	3:6 ✺
26.03.26	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6 ✺
22.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Ryan Joyce	6:4 ✺
22.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW
- Gian Van Veen
Darts
05.04.26	Gian Van Veen - William OConnor	2:6 ✺
02.04.26	Gian Van Veen - Luke Littler	6:5 ✺
26.03.26	Gerwyn Price - Gian Van Veen	6:1 ✺
19.03.26	Gian Van Veen - Michael Van Gerwen	van Gerwen M. ✺
15.03.26	Gian Van Veen - Wessel Nijman	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWL?L

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.03.26	Gian Van Veen - Michael Van Gerwen	van Gerwen M.
26.10.25	Gian Van Veen - Michael Van Gerwen	11:9
30.08.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gian Van Veen	3:6
23.03.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gian Van Veen	6:4
27.01.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Gian Van Veen	7:4
29.10.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Gian Van Veen	6:10

Michael Van Gerwen - Gian Van Veen