Match Info

European Tour 5 - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Glaspalast (Sindelfingen)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Jermaine Wattimena

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.45	2.47	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	2.43 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
61.6%

Jermaine Wattimena
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Jermaine Wattimena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Van Gerwen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jermaine Wattimena than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jermaine Wattimena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michael Van Gerwen - Jermaine Wattimena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Wattimena is ranked World Ranking: 16.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Van Gerwen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Gerwen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 6:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
18.04.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Unterbuchner	6:2 ✺
16.04.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Jonny Clayton	2:6 ✺
09.04.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Gian Van Veen	6:4 ✺
05.04.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Niko Springer	1:6 ✺
02.04.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL
- Jermaine Wattimena
Darts
18.04.26	Jermaine Wattimena - Kevin Doets	6:3 ✺
13.04.26	Jermaine Wattimena - Bradley Brooks	2:6 ✺
05.04.26	Jermaine Wattimena - Niels Zonneveld	6:4 ✺
22.03.26	Luke Humphries - Jermaine Wattimena	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Jermaine Wattimena - Ryan Meikle	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
01.04.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Jermaine Wattimena	6:2
24.03.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Jermaine Wattimena	6:0 best of 11 legs
25.03.17	Michael Van Gerwen - Jermaine Wattimena	6:1 best of 11 legs

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