Match Info

Premier League - Night 2 - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Antwerps Sportpaleis (Antwerp)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Josh Rock

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	1.95
	1.74	1.93
	1.91	1.91
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
52.1%

Josh Rock
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Josh Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josh Rock than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Josh Rock could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michael Van Gerwen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Rock is ranked World Ranking: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 3.

Van Gerwen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Rock has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Van Gerwen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 56:50. (average 6.2:5.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Josh Rock - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.47%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
10.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Charlie Manby	6:3 ✺
05.02.26	Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen	2:6 ✺
29.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	1:3 ✺
20.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4 ✺
19.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Nitan Kumar	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Josh Rock
Darts
05.02.26	Josh Rock - Jonny Clayton	2:6 ✺
01.02.26	Luke Littler - Josh Rock	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Robert Cross - Josh Rock	1:4 ✺
30.01.26	Josh Rock - Connor Scuut	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Justin Hood - Josh Rock	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
14.09.25	Josh Rock - Michael Van Gerwen	6:11
07.09.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	4:6
23.07.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	10:11
22.09.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	6:4
03.10.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	2:0 best of 5 sets
14.05.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	6:5
07.05.23	Josh Rock - Michael Van Gerwen	3:7

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