Match Info

European Tour 11 - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: PVA Expo (Prague)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Michael Van Gerwen		Mike De Decker

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.65	2.03
	1.32	2.93	Watch
	1.65	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.74)	2.27 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
58.6%

Mike De Decker
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Van Gerwen's performance.

Mike De Decker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mike De Decker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Michael Van Gerwen - Mike De Decker Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michael Van Gerwen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. De Decker is ranked World Ranking: 19.

De Decker's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Van Gerwen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 6:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
30.08.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gian Van Veen	3:6 ✺
23.07.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	10:11 ✺
21.07.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Raymond Van Barneveld	10:6 ✺
05.07.25	Robert Cross - Michael Van Gerwen	6:4 ✺
04.07.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Pero Ljubic	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- Mike De Decker
Darts
05.09.25	Mike De Decker - Ritchie Edhouse	6:3 ✺
30.08.25	Martin Schindler - Mike De Decker	6:3 ✺
29.08.25	Mike De Decker - Martin Lukeman	6:3 ✺
16.08.25	Luke Littler - Mike De Decker	6:2 ✺
15.08.25	Mike De Decker - Gordon Mathers	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
13.05.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Mike De Decker	6:4
29.02.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Mike De Decker	6:3 best of 11 legs

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