Match Info

WORLD: GRAND SLAM

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nathan Aspinall		Damon Heta

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.77	1.96
	1.81	2.01
	1.73	2.1
	1.76	2.06
	1.71	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)	2.04 (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
53.7%

Damon Heta
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Nathan Aspinall - Damon Heta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Preview

Recent matches Aspinall is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aspinall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aspinall won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
11.11.23	Nathan Aspinall - Beau Greaves	5:4 ✺
28.10.23	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	10:5 ✺
26.10.23	Nathan Aspinall - Ryan Searle	6:3 ✺
14.10.23	Nathan Aspinall - James Wade	4:6 ✺
02.10.23	Nathan Aspinall - Stephen Bunting	1:2 best of 5 sets ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- Damon Heta
Darts
11.11.23	Damon Heta - Ricardo Pietreczko	5:4 ✺
02.11.23	Owen Bates - Damon Heta	5:6
02.11.23	Damon Heta - Josh Payne	6:2
01.11.23	Gerwyn Price - Damon Heta	7:4
01.11.23	Damon Heta - Jeffrey de Zwaan	6:5
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
16.10.21	Nathan Aspinall - Damon Heta	10:6 best of 19 legs

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