Match Info

Premier League - Night 11 - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Ahoy Rotterdam (Rotterdam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports 505
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	L'Equipe
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
World	PDC TV


	Gerwyn Price		Nathan Aspinall

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.63	2.06
	1.66	2.24
	1.65	2.08
	1.67	2.2
	1.65	2.17	Watch
	1.63	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	2.14 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerwyn Price
56.3%

Nathan Aspinall
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerwyn Price has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Price will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Price (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Price is ranked World Ranking: 12. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 8.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Price won 3.

Recent matches Price is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aspinall in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aspinall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Price won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 125:113 (average 6.3:5.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Nathan Aspinall - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.55%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerwyn Price
Darts
10.04.25	Luke Littler - Gerwyn Price	6:3 ✺
09.04.25	Gerwyn Price - Darius Labanauskas	6:2 ✺
06.04.25	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	5:6 ✺
05.04.25	Gerwyn Price - Mike De Decker	6:4 ✺
03.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price	Price G. ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLW?
- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
14.04.25	Nathan Aspinall - Adam Lipscombe	6:5 ✺
10.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	2:6 ✺
10.04.25	Nathan Aspinall - Robert Cross	6:2 ✺
06.04.25	Nathan Aspinall - Martin Schindler	7:4 ✺
06.04.25	Josh Rock - Nathan Aspinall	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
06.04.25	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	5:6
13.02.25	Nathan Aspinall - Gerwyn Price	4:6
28.03.24	Nathan Aspinall - Gerwyn Price	6:5
01.02.24	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	6:4
28.10.23	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	10:5
08.07.23	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	6:3
18.05.23	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	6:3

Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide