Match Info

Premier League - Night 15 - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: P&J Live (Aberdeen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	L'Equipe
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action
World	PDC TV


	Nathan Aspinall		Stephen Bunting

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.82	1.81
	2.04	1.75
	1.84	1.84
	1.82	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.89)	1.82 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
49.2%

Stephen Bunting
50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Nathan Aspinall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Stephen Bunting have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stephen Bunting than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Nathan Aspinall - Stephen Bunting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:5

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 10. Bunting is ranked World Ranking: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 1.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Aspinall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 4:4.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Stephen Bunting - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.84%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
15.05.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
08.05.25	Nathan Aspinall - Luke Littler	4:6 ✺
03.05.25	Nathan Aspinall - Niels Zonneveld	2:6 ✺
01.05.25	Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 ✺
01.05.25	Nathan Aspinall - Chris Dobey	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLW
- Stephen Bunting
Darts
15.05.25	Gerwyn Price - Stephen Bunting	4:6 ✺
08.05.25	Stephen Bunting - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
03.05.25	Stephen Bunting - Cameron Menzies	2:6 ✺
01.05.25	Luke Littler - Stephen Bunting	6:5 ✺
26.04.25	Stephen Bunting - Matthew Campbell	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
03.04.25	Nathan Aspinall - Stephen Bunting	2:6
06.03.25	Stephen Bunting - Nathan Aspinall	2:6
04.02.24	Stephen Bunting - Nathan Aspinall	11:1
02.10.23	Nathan Aspinall - Stephen Bunting	1:2 best of 5 sets
27.01.23	Nathan Aspinall - Stephen Bunting	5:6
03.09.22	Nathan Aspinall - Stephen Bunting	6:3 best of 11 legs
08.04.20	Nathan Aspinall - Stephen Bunting	5:4 best of 9 legs

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