Match Info

Bahrain Darts Masters - Semi-finals

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Exhibition World Bahrain (Sakhir)


	Nathan Aspinall		Gian Van Veen

	1	X	2
	2.86		1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 (2.86)		1.34 (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
31.9%

Gian Van Veen
68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Nathan Aspinall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Gian Van Veen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nathan Aspinall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gian Van Veen than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gian Van Veen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 14. Van Veen is ranked World Ranking: 3.

In recent matches, Aspinall has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Van Veen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Van Veen is the team to beat.

We predict that Van Veen will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 3.7:5.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
16.01.26	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
15.01.26	Nathan Aspinall - Lourence Ilagan	6:4 ✺
29.12.25	Nathan Aspinall - Kevin Doets	3:4 ✺
22.12.25	Nathan Aspinall - Leonard Gates	3:0 ✺
19.12.25	Nathan Aspinall - Lourence Ilagan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW
- Gian Van Veen
Darts
16.01.26	Gian Van Veen - Danny Noppert	6:1 ✺
15.01.26	Gian Van Veen - Man Lok Leung	6:2 ✺
03.01.26	Luke Littler - Gian Van Veen	7:1 ✺
02.01.26	Gian Van Veen - Gary Anderson	6:3 ✺
01.01.26	Luke Humphries - Gian Van Veen	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.09.23	Nathan Aspinall - Gian Van Veen	1:6
09.09.23	Nathan Aspinall - Gian Van Veen	6:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gian Van Veen
Darts
10.10.26	Gian Van Veen - Niko Springer	✺

Nathan Aspinall - Gian Van Veen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide